"The owner of Tesla will never think that it has any problems, just as Apple fans will line up to buy the iPhone without thinking," a Tesla owner told the First Financial reporter. But with Model S's "auto-driving car accident" being exposed a few days ago, Chinese car owners with Tesla are asking themselves if they can still trust Tesla's technology 100%.
Industry insiders told the First Financial reporter: "The Autopilot assisted driving function introduced by Tesla in January this year allows the driver to sit in the back of the car or other positions to control the vehicle, but in fact it is away from 'automatic driving' Still far from each other."
He told the First Financial Reporter that the biggest challenge and obstacle to the current industrialization of fully automated driving is that the cost is too high. Even now, a driverless car that can really get on the road is built, and the cost is more than $250,000. It is almost impossible to automate driving immediately.
When can a fully automated car get on the road?
According to Frost & Sullivan, a global corporate growth consulting firm, about 30 to 40 models from different OEMs will be equipped with LIDAR (laser detection and measurement) systems to provide safe automation for vehicles over the next 10 years. Driving ability.
An employee of electric car manufacturer Faraday Future told the First Financial Reporter: "LIDAR is the fourth stage of self-driving cars (automatic driving is achieved by auxiliary driver, semi-automatic driving, high-speed automatic driving, fully automatic driving). Four stages are required, but there is still much room for improvement in optical flow and parallax technology."
He said that optical flow and parallax are key technologies for cars to respond to side road conditions. In this Tesla fatal accident, the Model S driver was caused by an accidental vehicle that was able to react automatically to vehicles that crossed from the side.
In this accident, "an 18-wheel semi-trailer truck traversed a highway with a dividing lane and a fatal collision with a Tesla Model S car." From the statement issued by Tesla, "The Model S camera is not easy to distinguish the white body of the truck and the bright sky." The patrol department report showed that the vehicle occurred on a sunny Sunday afternoon.
For the model S's autopilot function to avoid trucks entering the lane, Tesla's partner Mobileye (smart driving warning system manufacturer) issued a statement saying: "The camera equipment in the accidental Tesla is only suitable for Preventing rear impacts rather than escaping vehicles that traverse from the side, the system will not respond to side traffic conditions until 2018.†The company also made it clear that the technology they developed was “assisted drivingâ€. Not "automatic driving".
Industry insiders also told the First Financial Reporter that the biggest challenge and obstacle to the current auto-driving industrialization is the high cost. The "unmanned vehicle" developed by Google and other scientific research institutions consists of three major components: laser radar, high-precision GPS, and high-precision inertial navigation system. Among them, each laser radar has a value of up to 100,000 US dollars, and the combined cost of the latter two is as high as 150,000 US dollars. This means that the cost of building a truly fully automated car is now $250,000, which is 10 to 20 times the cost of an ordinary car.
â–²Google driverless car
The latest attempt for fully automated driving comes from BMW. The company recently announced that it has jointly developed fully automated driverless technology with integrated chip makers Intel and Mobileye, and announced that it will implement the driverless car in 2021.
However, the market generally believes that BMW is more aggressive in setting the road to driverless cars in 2021. Luo Wei told the First Financial Reporter: "Technically, 5 years is completely feasible, because driverless cars can now get on the road, but innovation in products is not enough, and infrastructure support and supervision are needed. The introduction of policies."
One of the controversial points is how to define and divide responsibilities in the event of a car accident in a driverless car. Previously, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration issued a new policy recognizing that computers are also a new type of driver and are seen as an important milestone in the development of autonomous driving. However, in the actual operation process, it still faces a big problem. For example, in this fatal car accident in Tesla, it is not clear who is responsible for the accident. "The laws and regulations are basically blank, which is another important reason that affects the commercialization of autonomous driving." Industry insiders indicated.
John Jullens, global partner of PwC's consulting firm, Stallone, told the First Financial reporter: "Automatically driving a car will make a profound change in the industry is recognized in the industry, no matter which way, from time From the above point of view, we have at least 10 years to go from fully automated driving. After that, it will take several years to achieve universalization."
The above Faraday Future people told the First Financial Reporter: "From the second stage to the fourth stage, it is a very big leap in technology. It is difficult to judge when it will be realized. The road to go is still far away." According to Tesari's data, even by 2025, only Tesla, Google and Apple have the ability to implement driverless technology. German automakers ABB (Audi, BMW, Mercedes-Benz) will not be realized until 2025.
But in any case, unmanned technology will inject new vitality into the entire industry. According to the latest analysis provided by consulting firm Roland Berger to CBN, by 2030, robotic taxis - fully automated electric vehicle suppliers will earn 40% of the total profit of the auto industry, OEMs and Parts suppliers (OES) will account for 22% and 14% of total profits, respectively.
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