The ancients say that if you listen to it, the letter is dark. Under the current market conditions, we can look at the development of the LED industry from multiple perspectives. Since the author began to pay attention to LED, it has been found that there have been two kinds of sound around the LED, one is the "optimist", they are full of confidence in the future of LED, and constantly for the LED "strength", the most typical language The characteristic is how much the development speed of LED has been increased, and how much the market share is expected to increase in the future. Another kind of sound tends to be rational with respect to “optimistsâ€. Considering more is a series of issues related to LED in the domestic (or international) market in China at the moment, such as whether the development of the industry needs to be integrated and the production and processing of products. The process is not yet to be improved, and there is still a gap between domestic production and production companies and foreign counterparts.
Taken together, the author thinks that these two different voices have their own truths and cannot be absolutely determined whether they are wrong or not. The following analysis from two perspectives:
Optimists: Confidence in the future. LED lighting fixtures have a long service life, high luminous efficiency, and low power consumption characteristics, which make them have obvious advantages when compared with traditional lighting fixtures. In addition, the country is now promoting energy conservation. Environmental protection and creating a "green and low carbon" life, so I have reason to believe that LED lighting will replace traditional lighting products, or sooner or later only a matter of time.
Another expert predicts that the LED lighting market will gradually mature in the next 10 years, and this 10 years will also be the most critical 10 years of transition from traditional lighting to LED lighting. I deeply believe that because LED products are widely used today, from point to surface, from urban lighting to interior lighting, from living tools to high-tech local lighting, LED can show off its talents, so no matter from the outside The market environment, or the nature of the LED itself, has indisputably demonstrated the "vital vitality" of LED.
Cautious faction: In the face of careful market cautious funding, according to the "2011-2015 China Semiconductor Lighting (LED) Industry Investment Analysis and Prospect Forecast Report released by the China Investment Adviser", the central bank has repeatedly raised deposits during the year to combat inflationary pressures. The reserve ratio and the benchmark interest rate, the actual amount of financial subsidies under the influence of the monetary tightening policy are difficult to obtain, and at the same time, the downstream demand is weak, the chip prices have fallen, and the capacity utilization rate has dropped sharply. Various manufacturers have started to postpone the expansion plan. Second-tier chip makers are facing shortages of funds, lack of professional technicians, and low MOCVD equipment. The pace of expansion is difficult, or they face operational difficulties.
In terms of technology, similar to other industrial products in China, current LED products are mainly concentrated in low-end and high-end products. How to narrow the gap between China's LED product technology and foreign counterparts, this is the key to our country's LED production and production enterprises can be assigned to the industry "a cup of yo." However, from the current point of view, it is more difficult to do it one step at a time. First, most companies are reluctant to spend so much time and effort. Second, even if there are occasional new products, they are just “changes in appearanceâ€. Their core technologies are The breakthrough is still "in the water, mirror in the month."
In terms of corporate operations, there are currently more than 3,000 LED companies in China, but most of them are in the stage of “respecting each other and fighting aloneâ€. There are two reasons for this: First, the industry standards for the LED industry in the country are still gradually improving. Local governments or manufacturers at all levels perform operations according to their own standards. There is a lack of product recognition among the industries. Second, some local governments have introduced preferential policies for local LED companies to promote the transformation of local enterprises, such as subsidies for production equipment, certain preferential taxation, and so on. It is precisely because of the existence of these factors that hinder the normal integration and merger of LED companies, weak and small enterprises in the industry can be "over and over", while the advantage of the company is difficult to become bigger and stronger.
At present, China's LED policy is constantly improving, and industry standards have begun to be implemented one after another. Related companies can only engage in research and development in a down-to-earth manner and do a solid market. The bright vision of LED will become a reality. The future of the industry is bright, but the "road" at the foot is not very good. Based on the above points of view, although the LED's prospects can be expected, there are still many areas that need attention in the actual market operations, and they should not be blindly optimistic and overconfident.
Taken together, the author thinks that these two different voices have their own truths and cannot be absolutely determined whether they are wrong or not. The following analysis from two perspectives:
Optimists: Confidence in the future. LED lighting fixtures have a long service life, high luminous efficiency, and low power consumption characteristics, which make them have obvious advantages when compared with traditional lighting fixtures. In addition, the country is now promoting energy conservation. Environmental protection and creating a "green and low carbon" life, so I have reason to believe that LED lighting will replace traditional lighting products, or sooner or later only a matter of time.
Another expert predicts that the LED lighting market will gradually mature in the next 10 years, and this 10 years will also be the most critical 10 years of transition from traditional lighting to LED lighting. I deeply believe that because LED products are widely used today, from point to surface, from urban lighting to interior lighting, from living tools to high-tech local lighting, LED can show off its talents, so no matter from the outside The market environment, or the nature of the LED itself, has indisputably demonstrated the "vital vitality" of LED.
Cautious faction: In the face of careful market cautious funding, according to the "2011-2015 China Semiconductor Lighting (LED) Industry Investment Analysis and Prospect Forecast Report released by the China Investment Adviser", the central bank has repeatedly raised deposits during the year to combat inflationary pressures. The reserve ratio and the benchmark interest rate, the actual amount of financial subsidies under the influence of the monetary tightening policy are difficult to obtain, and at the same time, the downstream demand is weak, the chip prices have fallen, and the capacity utilization rate has dropped sharply. Various manufacturers have started to postpone the expansion plan. Second-tier chip makers are facing shortages of funds, lack of professional technicians, and low MOCVD equipment. The pace of expansion is difficult, or they face operational difficulties.
In terms of technology, similar to other industrial products in China, current LED products are mainly concentrated in low-end and high-end products. How to narrow the gap between China's LED product technology and foreign counterparts, this is the key to our country's LED production and production enterprises can be assigned to the industry "a cup of yo." However, from the current point of view, it is more difficult to do it one step at a time. First, most companies are reluctant to spend so much time and effort. Second, even if there are occasional new products, they are just “changes in appearanceâ€. Their core technologies are The breakthrough is still "in the water, mirror in the month."
In terms of corporate operations, there are currently more than 3,000 LED companies in China, but most of them are in the stage of “respecting each other and fighting aloneâ€. There are two reasons for this: First, the industry standards for the LED industry in the country are still gradually improving. Local governments or manufacturers at all levels perform operations according to their own standards. There is a lack of product recognition among the industries. Second, some local governments have introduced preferential policies for local LED companies to promote the transformation of local enterprises, such as subsidies for production equipment, certain preferential taxation, and so on. It is precisely because of the existence of these factors that hinder the normal integration and merger of LED companies, weak and small enterprises in the industry can be "over and over", while the advantage of the company is difficult to become bigger and stronger.
At present, China's LED policy is constantly improving, and industry standards have begun to be implemented one after another. Related companies can only engage in research and development in a down-to-earth manner and do a solid market. The bright vision of LED will become a reality. The future of the industry is bright, but the "road" at the foot is not very good. Based on the above points of view, although the LED's prospects can be expected, there are still many areas that need attention in the actual market operations, and they should not be blindly optimistic and overconfident.
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